Former version of the method
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Use of logistic regression to forecast both TC genesis and
occurrence probability
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Predictors :
- Daily climatological probability of genesis/occurrence
- Interannual predictors : SST1/SST2 to take into account the ENSO
state and possibility the interannual variability in the Indian
Ocean
- Intraseasonnal predictors : RMM1/RMM2 to take into account the
MJO state
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Described in Leroy and Wheeler 2008
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